@Article{FernandezFranRao:2019:FuChAr,
author = "Fernandez, Julio Pablo Reyes and Franchito, Sergio Henrique and
Rao, Vadlamudi Brahmananda",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Future changes in the aridity of South America from regional
climate model projections",
journal = "Pure and Applied Geophysics",
year = "2019",
volume = "2019",
pages = "1--10",
keywords = "RegCM4, aridity index, Budyko index, UNEP index, future change in
the aridity over South America.",
abstract = "Future changes of the aridity of South America (SA) are
investigated. The projected changes of the Budyko and United
Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) indices in the mid- and end
of the twenty-first century from the ensemble mean RegCM4
simulations using the scenario RCP 8.5 are presented. The RegCM4
model driven by the global models of HadGEM2, MPI, and GFDL for
the period 19702100 carries out the simulations. For both Budyko
and UNEP indices, an aridity increase over SA is projected. Over
Brazil, the higher changes were found in the Amazon, North Brazil,
and Northeast Brazil (NEB). In the Amazon and North Brazil, an
increase of the aridity of 33.8% and 36.9% (for the UNEP index)
and 4.6% and 13.9% (for the Budyko index), respectively, are noted
at the end of the twenty-first century suggesting an increase of
the process of savannization in future climate. In NEB, a rise of
37.3% and 14.1%, respectively, for the UNEP and the Budyko
indices, is found, indicating an expansion of areas of the dry
land regime.",
doi = "10.1007/s00024-019-02108-4",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00024-019-02108-4",
issn = "0033-4553",
label = "lattes: 0873439630646612 1 FernandezFranRao:2019:FuChAr",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Fernandez2019_Article_FutureChangesInTheAridityOfSou.pdf",
url = "https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00024-019-02108-4",
urlaccessdate = "20 set. 2024"
}